Wednesday 5 November 2008

Glenrothes countdown

Countdown until the polls open...

PaddyPower has lengthened the odds on Labour retaining the seat - now at 2 - 1 with the SNP on 1 - 3.

And here's the latest thoughts doing the rounds:

Ben Brogan is suggesting that Labour have already given up.

Andrew Sparrow over in the Guardian is suggesting a narrow SNP win.

Of course, politicians are adept in the art of expectations management - you always see it with local elections. Play down expectations so when you do badly, you can spin it as being "rather better than we expected, actually."

One thing is certain, a victory in Glenrothes for Labour would allow the Brown recovery story to be perpetuated. Failure to win will not be a disaster, but it will signal that Labour are back in remission.

It's tricky - very difficult to call. Has Brown done enough to save himself? Before the polls open, I'm going for the SNP. Alex Salmond's party machinery will win through.

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